Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001710 0.001821 0.001935 0.002063 0.002201 0.002346 0.002510
2025-01-26 0.001488 0.001638 0.001798 0.001984 0.002195 0.002426 0.002701
2025-02-02 0.001412 0.001594 0.001796 0.002038 0.002321 0.002645 0.003044
2025-02-09 0.001345 0.001550 0.001784 0.002072 0.002420 0.002828 0.003350
2025-02-16 0.001321 0.001551 0.001819 0.002158 0.002578 0.003087 0.003757
2025-02-23 0.001258 0.001499 0.001787 0.002157 0.002627 0.003210 0.003999
2025-03-02 0.001173 0.001416 0.001709 0.002094 0.002591 0.003222 0.004094
2025-03-09 0.001108 0.001352 0.001652 0.002052 0.002578 0.003258 0.004220
2025-03-16 0.001066 0.001316 0.001627 0.002048 0.002612 0.003355 0.004430
2025-03-23 0.001019 0.001271 0.001588 0.002024 0.002616 0.003411 0.004584
2025-03-30 0.000982 0.001236 0.001560 0.002012 0.002635 0.003486 0.004767
2025-04-06 0.000940 0.001193 0.001520 0.001980 0.002625 0.003518 0.004888
2025-04-13 0.000901 0.001156 0.001489 0.001965 0.002644 0.003604 0.005108
2025-04-20 0.000842 0.001089 0.001416 0.001889 0.002574 0.003558 0.005130
2025-04-27 0.000831 0.001088 0.001432 0.001939 0.002687 0.003784 0.005586
2025-05-04 0.000816 0.001079 0.001437 0.001972 0.002775 0.003978 0.006005
2025-05-11 0.000817 0.001093 0.001474 0.002052 0.002939 0.004298 0.006652
2025-05-18 0.000793 0.001070 0.001456 0.002051 0.002978 0.004424 0.006984
2025-05-25 0.000753 0.001023 0.001402 0.001992 0.002922 0.004393 0.007043
2025-06-01 0.000721 0.000986 0.001362 0.001953 0.002895 0.004408 0.007181
2025-06-08 0.000701 0.000966 0.001346 0.001949 0.002924 0.004516 0.007493
2025-06-15 0.000677 0.000939 0.001318 0.001926 0.002921 0.004568 0.007708
2025-06-22 0.000658 0.000919 0.001298 0.001915 0.002936 0.004652 0.007985